Category Archives: Bankruptcy Data Blogging

MMM vs MTA – What’s The Difference?

MMM (Marketing Mix Modeling) and MTA (Multi-Touch Attribution) are both marketing measurement methods, but they differ in their approach and scope. MMM provides a macro-level, long-term view of marketing effectiveness by analyzing the overall impact of marketing activities on business outcomes using aggregated data. MTA, on the other hand, offers a granular, real-time analysis of individual customer journeys and the impact of specific touchpoints on conversions.

Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM):
Focus:
MMM focuses on understanding the overall impact of all marketing activities on business outcomes, often using aggregated data like sales figures, marketing spend, and external factors like seasonality.
Scope:
It provides a high-level view of marketing effectiveness, helping with strategic planning and long-term budgeting.
Data:
MMM typically uses historical data, often spanning years, and can incorporate both online and offline marketing channels.
Strengths:
MMM is useful for understanding the impact of offline channels, is privacy-friendly due to its use of aggregated data, and can help with long-term strategic planning.
Weaknesses:
MMM may not be as responsive to rapid market changes or emerging channels and may struggle to capture the impact of new tactics or technologies.

Multi-Touch Attribution (MTA):
Focus:
MTA focuses on tracking individual customer interactions across multiple touchpoints in the customer journey to understand which channels and tactics are most effective in driving conversions.
Scope:
MTA provides granular insights into the customer journey and helps with optimizing digital campaigns in real-time.
Data:
MTA relies on detailed, granular data on individual customer interactions, often requiring sophisticated tracking mechanisms and digital signals.
Strengths:
MTA is useful for optimizing digital campaigns, understanding the effectiveness of specific touchpoints, and identifying micro-moments that influence purchase decisions.
Weaknesses:
MTA can be challenging to implement across different platforms, especially offline channels, and may face challenges with privacy regulations due to its reliance on individual user data

In conclusion, MMM and MTA are complementary measurement methods. MMM offers a broad, strategic view, while MTA provides a granular, tactical view of marketing effectiveness. Many brands use a hybrid approach, leveraging both methods to gain a comprehensive understanding of their marketing performance.

Media Mix Modeling Defined

According to a 2024 eMarketer study, improving Media Mix Modeling (MMM) is a top priority for U.S. marketers, with 61% aiming for better or faster MMM capabilities. This is driven by the need for more sophisticated measurement approaches in today’s privacy-focused, multi-channel landscape. MMM, a statistical method with roots dating back to the 1950s and 60s, helps marketers understand the overall impact of various marketing activities on sales and ROI, including both online and offline channels. It’s particularly valuable as digital tracking becomes more limited, and brands rely on a healthy mix of online and offline media. Unlike multi-touch attribution (MTA), which focuses on individual user journeys, MMM provides a high-level, strategic view, using aggregated data to measure the long-term impact of marketing efforts. The rise of open-source projects, like Google’s Meridian, and AI are further advancing MMM, making it more accessible and accurate.

Consumer BK – A Bridge To New Sales

Consumer Bankruptcy filings continue to rise month over month leading many dealerships  reporting a noticeable trend: customers are ready to buy shortly after filing for bankruptcy. These individuals are not the traditional “bad credit” shopper. Many are caught in unforeseen medical expenses or job loss. Many quickly find that they qualify for financing that fits their budget.

The increase in bankruptcy filings opens up new opportunities for dealerships to work with consumers who have been financially strained. Factors such as the return of student loan collections and the end of certain financial modification programs are expected to escalate filings further in the near future. This growing wave of bankruptcy leads has created an uptick in activity with these potential customers. Many lenders are willing to extend credit immediately following bankruptcy filings, presenting an opportunity for dealerships to nurture relationships with these potential buyers. Dealerships ready to embrace this segment of the market, are primed for growth in sales.  Consumer bankruptcy is a bridge to new opportunities.

 

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Unlocking Opportunity With Consumer Bankruptcy Data

Consumer bankruptcy data is a valuable resource for businesses seeking to understand market trends and identify potential customer segments. This data reveals demographics, geographic locations, and even specific types of debt involved in bankruptcy filings, allowing companies to refine their target audience and tailor their marketing messages accordingly.
By using this data, businesses can gain insights into the needs and challenges faced by consumers who have recently gone through or are in the process of a bankruptcy filing. This deeper understanding can help businesses develop products and services that cater to these specific needs, and create compassionate and supportive marketing campaigns that resonate with this audience.

The High & Low of Hybrids

The initial excitement surrounding electric vehicles (EVs) has given way to more subdued sales figures, while traditional hybrids have experienced significant growth. In 2024, Toyota alone sold nearly one million hybrids, accounting for 6% of total vehicle sales. By most industry estimates, the overall share of EV sales across all brands reached approximately 10%.

As the automotive industry approaches 2025, uncertainties related to political developments could further complicate the landscape for electric vehicles.

Despite mixed messages in the media about EVs, awareness and acceptance of the technology are rising among consumers. A recent study conducted by CDK revealed that the percentage of gas vehicle shoppers willing to consider an EV in the future increased from 18% last year to 31% this year. Among hybrid shoppers, the willingness to switch to an EV jumped from 38% to 54%.

Additionally, consumers purchasing gas vehicles are gaining a better understanding of EV technologies, including aspects such as driving range and the availability of charging infrastructure in their areas.

Serious CC Delinquencies Expected to Rise in 2023

TransUnion forecasts serious credit card delinquencies to rise to 2.60% at the end of 2023 from 2.10% at the conclusion of 2022. Unsecured personal loan delinquency rates are expected to increase from 4.10% to 4.30% in the same timeframe. Serious auto loan delinquency rates are expected to modestly decline to 1.90% in 2023 from 1.95% in 2022.
TransUnion’s forecasts are based on various economic assumptions, such as expected consumer spending, disposable personal income, home prices, inflation, interest rates, real GDP growth rates and unemployment rates, among other metrics. The forecasts could change if there are unanticipated shocks to the economy, such as if COVID-19 disrupts recovery efforts, home prices unexpectedly fall or inflation continues to remain elevated through the next year. Better-than-expected improvements in the economy, such as potential increases in GDP and disposable income, could also impact these forecasts.

2023 Forecasted Changes in Markets

After two years of credit card and personal loan growth, despite serious delinquency rates that remained near pre-COVID levels, TransUnion predicts the consumer credit market will experience pronounced changes in 2023. TransUnion’s 2023 Consumer Credit Forecast projects delinquency rates for credit card and personal loans to rise to levels not seen since 2010. At the same time, demand for most lending products will remain high relative to pre-pandemic levels with the number of consumers securing auto and home equity loans increasing on an annual basis.
Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, TransUnion’s new Consumer Pulse study found that more than half (52%) of Americans are optimistic about their financial future during the next 12 months. The youngest generations – Millennials (64%) and Gen Z (61%) – are most optimistic. The optimism levels are occurring against a backdrop wherein 82% of consumers believe the U.S. is currently in or will be in a recession before the end of 2023.
Rapidly increasing interest rates and stubbornly high inflation combined with recession fears represent the latest in a series of significant challenges consumers have faced in recent years. It’s not surprising then to see pronounced increases in delinquency rates for credit card and personal loans, two of the more popular credit products. Yet, many consumers – from a credit perspective – are in a better position than they were just a few years ago, equipped with credit they can use in case of more macroeconomic challenges. We expect demand for credit to continue to be high with lenders positioned well to meet it. While unemployment is likely to rise next year, it should remain relatively low, a key element for a healthy consumer credit market.